Ngomhla we-14 ku-Epreli, i-2022, i-World Steel Association (WSA) ikhuphe ingxelo yamva nje yexesha elifutshane (2022-2023).Ngokutsho kwengxelo, imfuno yensimbi yehlabathi iya kuqhubeka ikhula ngeepesenti ze-0.4 ukuya kwi-1.8402 yeetoni zeebhiliyoni kwi-2022, emva kokukhula kweepesenti ze-2.7 ngo-2021. Ngo-2023, imfuno yensimbi yehlabathi iya kuqhubeka ikhula nge-2.2 yeepesenti ukuya kwi-1.881.4 yeetoni zeebhiliyoni. .Kumxholo wengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine, iziphumo zengqikelelo yangoku aziqinisekanga kakhulu.
Uqikelelo lwemfuno yentsimbi lugutyungelwe kukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokungaqiniseki
Ethetha ngolu qikelelo, uMaximo Vedoya, uSihlalo weWorld Steel Association’s Market Research Committee wathi: “Xa sipapasha olu qikelelo lwexesha elifutshane lokufunwa kwentsimbi, iUkraine iphakathi kwentlekele yabantu nezoqoqosho emva kwephulo lomkhosi waseRashiya.Sonke sifuna isiphelo sale mfazwe kunye noxolo lwangoko.Ngo-2021, ukuchacha kwakunamandla kunokuba bekulindelwe kwimimandla emininzi phantsi kwempembelelo yobhubhane, ngaphandle kweentlekele zokubonelela kunye nemijikelo emininzi ye-COVID-19.Nangona kunjalo, ukwehla okungalindelekanga kuqoqosho lwase-China kunciphise ukukhula kwemfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi ngo-2021. Imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022 kunye no-2023 ayiqinisekanga kakhulu."Ulindelo lwethu lokuchacha okuzinzileyo noluzinzileyo lushukunyiswe kukuqhambuka kwemfazwe eUkraine kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu."
Imvelaphi eqikelelweyo
Impembelelo yongquzulwano iya kuhluka ngokwengingqi, kuxhomekeke kurhwebo oluthe ngqo kunye nokuvezwa kwemali eRashiya naseUkraine.Impembelelo ekhawulezileyo kunye eyingozi yongquzulwano e-Ukraine iye yabelwana ngayo yiRashiya, kwaye i-European Union nayo ichaphazeleke kakhulu ngokuxhomekeka kwayo kumandla aseRashiya kunye nokusondela kwayo ngokwejografi kwindawo yongquzulwano.Ayisiyiyo loo nto kuphela, kodwa impembelelo yavakala kwihlabathi jikelele ngenxa yamandla aphezulu kunye namaxabiso eemveliso, ngakumbi kwizinto eziyimfuneko ezifunekayo ukwenza intsimbi, kunye nokuphazamiseka okuqhubekayo kwamatyathanga okubonelela okuye kwaphazamisa ishishini lentsimbi yehlabathi nangaphambi kokuba imfazwe iqale.Ukongezelela, ukuguquguquka kweemarike zezemali kunye nokungaqiniseki okuphezulu kuya kuchaphazela ukuzithemba kwabatyali-zimali.
Iziphumo zokuchitheka kwemfazwe eUkraine, zikhatshwa kukuhla kokukhula koqoqosho lwaseTshayina, kulindeleke ukuba zehlise ukukhula kwemfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi ngo-2022. Ukongeza, ukuqhubeka kokuqhambuka kwe-COVID-19 kwezinye iindawo zehlabathi, ngakumbi iTshayina, kwaye ukunyuka kwamazinga enzala nako kubangela imingcipheko ephantsi kuqoqosho.Ukuqiniswa okulindelekileyo komgaqo-lawulo wezemali wase-US kuya kwandisa umngcipheko wobuthathaka bezemali kuqoqosho olukhulayo.
Uqikelelo lwemfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi ngo-2023 aluqinisekanga kakhulu.Uqikelelo lwe-WISA luthatha ukuba ukuma kwe-Ukraine kuya kuphelisa ngo-2022, kodwa ukuba izohlwayo ezichasene neRashiya ziya kuhlala zikho.
Ngaphezu koko, i-geopolitical dynamics ejikeleze iUkraine iya kuba nefuthe elinzulu kushishino lwentsimbi yehlabathi.Oku kubandakanya ukulungiswa kwendlela yorhwebo lwehlabathi, ukuguqulwa korhwebo lwamandla kunye nempembelelo yalo kwinguqu yamandla, kunye nohlengahlengiso oluqhubekayo lwekhonkco lokubonelela ngehlabathi.