I-International Monetary Fund (IMF) ngoLwesibini ikhuphe i-World Economic Outlook yamva nje, iqikelela ukuba uqoqosho lwehlabathi luya kukhula nge-3.6 % ngo-2022, lwehle nge-0.8 % kuqikelelo lwalo lwangoJanuwari.
I-IMF ikholelwa ukuba ungquzulwano kunye nezohlwayo zasentshona eRashiya ziye zabangela intlekele yobuntu, zanyusa amaxabiso eemveliso zehlabathi, zaphazamisa iimarike zaBasebenzi kunye norhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe, kunye nokuphazamiseka kweemarike zemali zehlabathi.Ukusabela ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso aphezulu, uqoqosho oluninzi kwihlabathi jikelele lunyuse izinga lenzala, nto leyo ekhokelela ekuncitshisweni komdla wokutya umngcipheko phakathi kwabatyali-mali kunye nokuqiniswa kweemeko zezimali zehlabathi.Ukongeza, ukunqongophala kogonyo lwe-COVID-19 kumazwe anengeniso ephantsi kunokukhokelela kuqhambuko olutsha.
Ngenxa yoko, i-IMF icuthe uqikelelo lwayo lokukhula koqoqosho lwehlabathi kulo nyaka kwaye yaqikelela ukukhula kwehlabathi nge-3.6 pesenti ngo-2023, yehla nge-0.2% yamanqaku kuqikelelo lwayo lwangaphambili.
Ngokukodwa, uqoqosho oluqhubela phambili kulindeleke ukuba lukhule nge-3.3 % kulo nyaka, lwehle nge-0.6 % amanqaku ukusuka kuqikelelo lwangaphambili.Iya kukhula i-2.4 yeepesenti kunyaka ozayo, phantsi kwe-0.2 % amanqaku ukusuka kuqikelelo lwangaphambili.Iimarike ezikhulayo kunye noqoqosho oluphuhlayo kulindeleke ukuba lukhule ngeepesenti ze-3.8 kulo nyaka, phantsi kweepesenti ze-1 ukusuka kwisibikezelo sangaphambili;Iya kukhula i-4.4 pesenti kunyaka ozayo, phantsi kwe-0.3 % amanqaku ukusuka kuqikelelo lwangaphambili.
I-IMF ilumkise ukuba uqikelelo lokukhula kwehlabathi belingaqinisekanga ngakumbi kunangaphambili njengoko ungquzulwano phakathi kweRussia neUkraine lubethe nzima kuqoqosho lwehlabathi.Ukuba izohlwayo zasentshona eRussia aziphakanyiswanga kwaye ukuqhekeka okubanzi kokuthunyelwa kwamandla eRashiya kuyaqhubeka emva kokuphela kongquzulwano, ukukhula kwehlabathi kunokucotha ngakumbi kwaye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunokuba ngaphezulu kunokuba bekulindelwe.
Umcebisi we-IMF kwezoqoqosho kunye nomlawuli wophando uPierre-Olivier Gulanza uthe kwiposti yeblogi kwangolo suku lunye ukukhula koqoqosho lwehlabathi akuqinisekanga kakhulu.Kule ngxaki, imigaqo-nkqubo kwinqanaba likazwelonke kunye nentsebenziswano yamazwe amaninzi iya kudlala indima ebalulekileyo.Iibhanki ezingundoqo kufuneka zilungelelanise umgaqo-nkqubo ngokuqinisekileyo ukuqinisekisa ukuba ukulindela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuhlala kuzinzile kwixesha eliphakathi ukuya kwixesha elide, kwaye zibonelele ngonxibelelwano olucacileyo kunye nesikhokelo kwimbonakalo yomgaqo-mali ukuze kuncitshiswe imingcipheko ephazamisayo yohlengahlengiso lomgaqo-nkqubo.